Predictions and polls: Open Thread

*** Tonight Catalyst will have three open threads (National, Statewide, House-Senate) and updated election results and highlights — PLEASE tune in at 6:00 pm ***

— Victoria Taft & Americans for Prosperity election party tonight (Details here).

— Real Clear Politics average poll shows Oregon governor race as a toss-up and House-5 Bruun- vs. Schrader as a toss-up.

— Give us your predictions for tonightHere is what Gallup said this week

“…Taking Gallup’s final survey’s margin of error into account, the historical model predicts that the Republicans could gain anywhere from 60 seats on up, with gains well beyond that possible.It should be noted, however, that this year’s 15-point gap in favor of the Republican candidates among likely voters is unprecedented in Gallup polling and could result in the largest Republican margin in House voting in several generations. This means that seat projections have moved into uncharted territory, in which past relationships between the national two-party vote and the number of seats won may not be maintained.”

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