Voter surge myth. Little different than 2004.

2008 Voter turnout was only higher by less than 1% compared to 2004. What made the difference was that GOP voter turn-out dropped nearly 2% and Democrat turn-out rose nearly 3% when compared to 2004.

GOP
2004 = 30 %
2008 = 28.7%

Democrat
2004 = 28.7%
2008 = 31.3%

From American University Center for the Study of the American Electorate

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Posted by at 06:00 | Posted in Measure 37 | 7 Comments |Email This Post Email This Post |Print This Post Print This Post
  • John Fairplay

    The Oregon Republican Party – and its allies – have done an absolutely miserable job in identifying and turning out its voters. It’s likely time for a house cleaning and an effort to hire staff that understands how to win elections. These people do exist on the Republican side, some of them won races Tuesday, and many of them are not “old guard.”

    • Rupert in Springfield

      “hire staff that understands how to win elections”

      Gee? Ya Think?

      For myself, I wonder at what point in the campaign did John McCain maybe consider that hiring the bunch that ran Doles campaign wasn’t a good idea?

      Hmmmmmmm, I wonder????

      You know what else I wonder?

      I wonder if Gordon Smith is sitting back staring up at the sky with that dumb look on his face doing the math?

      “Are you there God? Its me…..Gordon”

      “God… I have been doing some thinking….. and God?….. I think you were real mean to me”

      “You didn’t give me any math skills”

      “You see, I figured out that it just doesn’t add up……because if I run commercials saying how great I am working with Ted Kennedy….then wouldn’t everyone figure a Democrat would work with Ted Kennedy even better?”

      “I feel so foolish now God”

      “YOU SHOULD FEEL FOOLISH GORDON…..BUT TAKE SOLACE MY CHILD FOR YOU STILL HAVE THAT FINE NETWORK HAIR”

      “Why God!!!!! You’re right…. I do still have network hair….and I am still very pretty…..and I am still rich”

      “THAT’S RIGHT GORD….RICH AND PRETTY GOES A LONG WAY TO COUNTER THE FACT THAT YOU ARE TRULY STUPID”

      “Wow, thank you God, you made me feel good in my hour of need”

      “YES MY SON….GOOD AND STUPID”

      “But still pretty”

      “YES… LEARN FROM THIS”

      “But God, what should I have learned?”

      “OH….SORRY, I FORGOT……WELL……JUST BE PRETTY”

      “I will God…..you’re the best”

  • dean

    In Oregon, turnout was 1% LOWER than in 04, but Democratic registration was 230,000 above Republican registration. I think the problem John, is that Republicans are needing to turn out greater percents of a diminishing voter base to be at all competetive. At the pace Oregon is going we will be Vermont or Rhode Island in a few years, with Republicans very hard to find outside of the non-growing rural counties.

    In 1988 Republicans had both Senate seats and the Governorship. All 3 were moderates. Today you have zip. Time to re-think your program perhaps? Or alternatively, you can keep your program, dismiss the people and get a new people. Maybe recruit from the Great Plains or deep south.

  • JessseO

    Of course, there were up to 6.5 million new voters, meaning a 5% increase.

    The stats above talk about the difference in turn out, but there were a LOT more people registered.

  • Crawdude

    Oregon GOP has no discipline, no guidance. If it wasn’t for how badly the liberals will perform during this recession, they may have become extinct.

    When the liberals ban firearms, they will lose that block of voters for the next election. When they bail out the big 3 but not the other companies, they will lose those voters. When the raise taxes and do more harm to the economy, the will lose the unemployed that are trained in financial management. Every poor Idea they push through will chip a little more support from them.

    They came in to power on Obamas coat tailS, not their own popularity…….WHICH IS SITTING AROUND 20%.

  • Bob Clark

    The election results were very discouraging for fiscal conservatives in Oregon. I think it’s because we are a dwindling breed. I think we must fight to keep the idea of unintrusive but strong governance alive. I think we might even have to dump the Republican party and create a new party with an unchanging mantra of limiting government to security, regulation of market information, and local courts for also determining and dealing with material negative externalities. I think also in such scheme judges must have competition in their election as opposed to the current system which discourages judge competition. “None-of-the-Above” as a line item for such positions might also assist in making for a more competitive election system.

    • Crawdude

      I don’t think fiscal conservatives are a dwindling breed, I believe we allowed the Neo-Cons to take over the GOP.

      If you look at the race results this last time conservatives didn’t lose, neocons did. Now is the time for real conservatives to take back the GOP.

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