Can a Republican win in Oregon?

Check out the analysis Ethan Epstein offers in the Weekly Standard article “Dudley Do-Right” (July 5 – July 12, 2010, Vol. 15, No. 40).

The choice presented by the two candidates is stark. Dudley, who has worked as a successful financial planner and philanthropist since 2003, is running on “jobs, jobs, jobs.” He wants to provide tax relief to small businesses, modernize Oregon’s land use regulations, and offer incentives (rather than direct subsidies) to promising growth industries. He has pledged to propose no tax increases and has vowed to end the automatic budget increases that keep Oregon’s budget in the red.
Kitzhaber is running on a grab-bag of issues. He suggests seeking a federal waiver from the standards imposed by the No Child Left Behind Act. He stresses environmental “sustainability.” He has floated the idea of giving up Oregon’s status as one of only five states without a sales tax, though voters have rejected this resoundingly in multiple referendums, most recently in 1993 by a three-to-one margin. This is catnip to Dudley, who relishes pointing out that as a legislator and governor, Kitzhaber supported raising taxes on income, gasoline, and cigarettes.

Kitzhaber is running on a grab-bag of issues. He suggests seeking a federal waiver from the standards imposed by the No Child Left Behind Act. He stresses environmental “sustainability.” He has floated the idea of giving up Oregon’s status as one of only five states without a sales tax, though voters have rejected this resoundingly in multiple referendums, most recently in 1993 by a three-to-one margin. This is catnip to Dudley, who relishes pointing out that as a legislator and governor, Kitzhaber supported raising taxes on income, gasoline, and cigarettes.

Two Questions:
1) Have you seen enough substance in the Dudley campaign?
2) What’s it going to take to get the votes needed in Lane County and Multnomah County?

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Posted by at 07:00 | Posted in Measure 37 | 20 Comments |Email This Post Email This Post |Print This Post Print This Post
  • Jim Ray

    1. NO! Persoanlly I’m not at all interested in a Dan Lavin (RINO) Governor.
    2. I’m laughing!
    Sadly only a RINO has a gnats ass of a chance to win statewide office. Been that way for years. We are inundated locally with mealy mouthed R’s, only a very few exceptions.

  • Skippy

    Dudley who?

    • Sybella

      Actually Dudley Do Right was a hero and a defender of the law and freedom. Yeah, Dudley, You have my vote. Skippy is being childish.

  • valley p

    A “jobs jobs jobs campaign is very current, but history shows that recessions run their course and 2 or 3 years down the road we may well be back to struggling with growth management. So maybe Dudley can get elected on a nice sounding jobs first platform, but its not a program for 4 or 8 years of governing the state.

    To the extent he keeps campaigning on vague notions like “sustainability” and “tax relief,” well you can fool some of the people some of the time. Maybe he can fool enough into taking a chance on him. He is certainly less threatening than the typical angry right winger.

    • jim karlock

      And AGW suckers are easily fooled.

      Thanks
      JK

      • valley p

        I didn’t say you could fool most all of the scientists most of the time did I? Your example needs to b turned around. In this case you are some of the people, and you have been fooled by unedited blogs.

  • Jan

    Chris Dudley is light on government experience and I feel that is a good thing. To those who say he lacks experience, may I remind you we have all experienced Kitzhaber and to relive his government is more than most can bear.

    No matter what a candidate says during the campaign, they must deal with the legislature and Kitzhaber did not handle that well in his eight years. The Governnor may write the bidget, but the legislators fund it and write more laws, rules and regulation than one state needs.

    I am willing to give Dudley my vote and a chance his lack of experience will still govern better than Kitzhaber’s experience. Any R who does not vote is very foolish, you are voting for more of the same.

    • rural resident

      “Jan”, you would probably give Attila the Hun your vote if he had an “R” after his name on the ballot.

      A lack of experience is never a *good* thing. It may not matter as much in some circumstances, but lacking knowledge is never a plus. If Dudley really wants to be governor of Oregon, it’s too bad he didn’t run for a legislative position this time. That would allow him to become better known, to learn the ins and outs of the executive and legislative branches, and to begin developing a record upon which Oregonians could judge his suitability for statewide office.

      It’s a shame that Kitzhaber will be the beneficiary of Dudley’s lack of familiarity with the people, issues, and process–just as he was in 1998 when he ran against Bill Sizemore. The Republicans had better candidates to put up against him. With Kitz on the “D” side, there are lots of us out here who don’t have to look far to find reasons to vote for his opponent.

  • Scatcat

    “1. NO! Persoanlly I’m not at all interested in a Dan Lavin (RINO) Governor.
    2. I’m laughing!
    Sadly only a RINO has a gnats ass of a chance to win statewide office. Been that way for years. We are inundated locally with mealy mouthed R’s, only a very few exceptions. ”

    Thank you I am registering as an independent. Democrats are too far left and republicans eat those who are not conservative enough. The reason Republicans will not win, is we chased out all the good leaders. Thank you red neck, institution loving, immigrant hating, religious* hypocritical and misleading, talk radio conservatives.

    * not that Christianity is bad but The Gospel is Christ dying for our sins and resurrected for or salvation. Visitants not a political movement based on flawed cultural utopianism. Both liberal an d conservative Christians are guilty of this sin.

  • Rob DeHarpport

    Not enough substance, I doubt he can win just campaigning with photo ops. Time to turn it up a notch Chris. We need to hear what you are planning to do, many are waiting and ready to get to work for you, your campaign must get in gear!

  • Anonymous

    There has been no substance to the Dudley campaign. I want to see definitive ideas and action plans, not commercials about how he overcame diabetes. Is it inspiring, yes, does it mean he’ll be a good governor, who knows? I want details of how he’ll run the state.

  • Anonymous

    From Harry Esteve’s article in the Oregonian.

    Who says Dudley is short on specifics?

    “Physical education classes are too important to cut from Portland schools, and the district should look elsewhere for cost savings, Republican candidate for governor Chris Dudley said Wednesday, weighing in on a debate that has sparked a wave of outcry.
    dudley.

    But Dudley, in an interview with The Oregonian, stopped short of saying what those other cuts should be.”

  • Ron Marquez

    Question number 2 is the key. 72% of the registered voters in Lane and Multnomah Counties are Democrat. Dudley must surely know his message must resonate here but I’ve heard nothing that’s likely to swing these counties his way.

    I’m not even know what the message to blue counties should be. I don’t think fiscal prudence alone is going to cut it. Emphasis on jobs may work if the unemployment rate is high enough. Specificity and believability of any message will be critical.

    • Ron Marquez

      …..”I’m not even know”…..should read “I’m not even sure”…..

  • Klatu

    Gov. Chris Dudley

  • Jan

    FYI I am a registered D – a conservative D. We are a rare breed, but we exist. John Kitzhaber could not govern before and I see nothing in his campaign that tells me this is the new and improved canididate.

    Thanks but no thanks I will vote for Dudley and hope for the best.

  • conservatively speaking

    1. At least something GOP is better than continual thingies cast by state Dems since Goldschmidt’s ’87 inauguration. Alas, to even think of another 4 years of Kitzhaber “MahoniaHowling?” NUTS!

    2. The ‘kilns’ of Lane and Multnomah Counties up are so fired up for DNCademia nuts, the most effective way to cool-their-larder, perhaps, compelling “voter literacy testing” that’d surely cull the heat blasting from the Demz pitch’n! Alas, any sight of hell cooling down, swoon, seems overly optimistic. D’oh!

  • Rob DeHarpport

    Although it would probably be political suicide here in Oregon, it would be great to see Dudley propose financial sanity like newly elected Governor Chris Christie has enacted in New Jersey. The guy has moxie and he is doing just what we need to do here in Oregon….Face reality!
    We have all (exageration) come to love New Jersey’s Republican Governor’s candid style, his no-nonsense tack on state economics and the state budget, and his take-no-prisoners approach to the leftist blowhards weeping and wailing and gnashing their teeth at his cutting government spending in New Jersey.

    What many didn’t know (who didn’t spend a lot of time over the Independence Day Weekend watching the news) is that he held the line, and signed the smallest budget in a half decade, closed an $11 Billion deficit WITHOUT increasing taxes, reducing spending by nine percent, and generally adhered to the principles of limited government (at least, the first baby step in that direction) and personal property rights. Major cuts in spending included cuts to the sacred cows of leftist ‘progressive’ activists, including public indoctrination…er…education, mass transit, and municipalities (intra-state wealth redistribution). Every department in state government was cut. The Governor vetoed the Democrat tax increase. June 28th was the date of passage, and it’s great news for New Jersey and for America!

  • Blitzfrick

    “modernize Oregon’s land use regulations, and offer incentives (rather than direct subsidies) to promising growth industries.” I’d like to know more about these two items before I make up my mind. Anyone can run on the jobs issue, not just this election but any time.

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