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New poll: Romney leads Obama

by In the news Saturday, August 25. 2012

by NW Spotlight

Latest polling data shows presidential race tightening – Romney ahead in one poll

A Fox News poll released Thursday shows Romney leads Obama 45% to 44%. The Hill reports “The race tightened almost immediately upon Romney’s Aug. 11 announcement that Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) would be his running mate.”

Romney has a strong lead among independent voters, 42 to 32 over Obama, according to the Fox News poll.

The Hill also reported that in a great deal of new new polling data released this week, including national daily tracking polls Gallup and Rasmussen, the presidential race is in a dead-heat.

Romney’s 1% lead in the Fox News poll is a statistical tie under the poll’s 3 percentage point margin of error, and Obama has a 1% lead in the latest AP and Survey USA polls. The Hill also notes that Obama leads by 1% in the Real Clear Politics average of polls – the closest the average has been since mid-June.

 

Posted by at 12:24 | Posted in 2012 Presidential Election | 5 Comments | Email This Post | Print This Post
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  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Siara-Delyn/100000094032948 Siara Delyn

    Well, if it’s from Fox it MUST be accurate.

    • LibsDeserveDeath

      Just like when anything from Media Matters is always correct.

      • guest

        Interlude BlueOregon for local blathers attending what’s left of US.

  • valley person

    Other polls have not seen much in the way of a tightening race, especially since Ryan was picked. He seems to be helping in his home state, but nowhere else.

    We all want polls to tell us what we want to believe. THe only objective way to view polls is to consider the average of all reputable polls taken over a period of time, favoring the more recent ones over the more distant ones. Nate Silver of the NY Times does this and he seems to be very close to dead accurate in calling elections.

    Romney vs Obama is close and is going to remain very close unless or until some even changes the dynamic. 90% of the voters appear to be locked in on one or the other, and it comes down to who can convince just enough of the other 10% in only around 8 or 10 states to give their guy a chance. Expect a nail biter right through election night.

  • Bob Clark

    This week’s Barron’s magizine shows Romney garnering 299 electoral votes in the most likely case based on changing demographics, where key counties have gained GOP demographices while other key counties have lost Democrat demographics since the year 2008. 270 electoral votes are required for straight up victory.
    Romney’s got cash momentum, too. It ain’t over.

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