Poll: people reject double majority repeal


A new Riley Research Poll shows that voters do not want to scale back the Double Majority law. As I lobbied the Capitol on this issues, the politicians told me voters no longer cared for it. Turns out people do appreciate the protection of the Double Majority Law. It is no surprise to me since the voters have affirmed it at the ballot three times!

Oppose………………. 51%

Oppose somewhat.. 15%
Oppose strongly……36%


Support………………..30%

Support strongly……20%
Support somewhat..10%

Undecided…………….18%
(Don’t know / Unsure / Refused)

Here is some fo the polling details as offered by Riley Research:

Riley Research Associates conducted an omnibus survey among likely Oregon voters regarding their opinions on a variety of issues. The scientific telephone poll was conducted among 503 randomly selected registered likely voters throughout Oregon. A sample of 503 provides accuracy to within +/-4.37% at a 95% level of confidence. Fielding took place between April 30th and May 8th, 2007.

This poll defined “likely voters” as those who have voted in at least two of the following four elections: 2004 General, 2004 Primary, 2006 General, or 2006 Primary. In addition, those who voted only in the 2006 General election were also included.

Regional breakouts were defined for cross-tabulations. The counties were classified into the following regions:
– Portland Metro: Clackamas, Columbia, Multnomah, Washington
– Willamette Valley: Benton, Lane, Linn, Marion, Polk, Yamhill
– Southern: Douglas, Jackson, Josephine
– Central/ Eastern: Baker, Crook, Deschutes, Gilliam, Grant, Harney, Hood River, Jefferson, Klamath, Lake, Malheur, Morrow, Sherman, Umatilla, Union, Wasco, Wallowa, Wheeler
– Coast: Clatsop, Coos, Curry, Lincoln, Tillamook

Question: One issue the legislature is looking at is the so-called double majority rule, which currently requires that for a money measure to pass without a turnout by a majority of eligible voters, it needs to be approved only in a General election.

Under the proposed change, a Primary election would be a second occasion that a money measure could pass without a majority of voters turning out. If this were on the ballot, would you vote to support the change or oppose it? (Strongly or somewhat?)

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  • Jerry

    These incompetent idiots are afraid of the rule because it hampers their ability to steal our money.
    Of course they would say people don’t want it, but the people do.
    Plain and simple.

    • eagle eye

      Who are these “incompentent idiots” who want to steal our money? Are you talking about the legislators? Who is “we”? Do you mean us voters who elect them?

      • Jason W.

        You are assuming that voters always have a choice between a bonehead and a genius at the ballot. Soemtimes voters are left to pick the lesser of two lessers. 🙂

  • John Fairplay

    Those are pretty weak poll numbers on the “no” side. I’m surprised it’s not more like 65 percent. With a bare majority opposing repeal, I’d run a ballot measure if I were the bad guys.

  • Jason W.

    Well,
    As with most voting, most undecideds eventually lean towards a no vote putting it close to 65%. As I said, why push something voters have already voted NO on, and polling shows they don’t want. The Legislature needs tos top rolling back voter approved measures, and get busy solving problems.

  • CRAWDUDE

    I voted for the double majority rule and have no doubt I’ll have vote for again…and again….and again….yawn!

  • torridjoe

    can’t trust a riley poll, especially with that silly screener. So everybody who didn’t vote in the midterms and moved here less than three years ago isn’t a likely voter, eh? People who only vote in presidentials aren’t likely voters, eh? Right.

    • Jason W.

      Riley is right about Presidential only voters. If the Double Majority would be scaled back through Legislative referral it would happen in a special election or primary. If you don’t vote in non-Presidential races, you likely wont vote in the non-prez. race this measure would be held at.

    • Mike Riley

      Sorry torridjoe – without actual ballot measure language available, all you can do is make sure the question is clear. And while it does seem that new voters tend to be more liberal (and ostensibly more willing to support a re-write), Jason is correct, they remain much less likely to vote in any but the “big” elections.

      Despite what you might think from reading the media, most people don’t want to make it easier for government to reach in to our pockets. “Can’t trust a riley poll?” I guess you can’t trust a public employee blogging from work. 😉

  • Anon

    This poll is ludicrious. The poll question looks absolutely nothing like the ballot measure title. The results, therefore, are inaccurate and useless.