Big Battle between Governor polls

By Oregon Campaign Watch,

<UPDATED 7/8/22 7:58am. New poll released yesterday shows Drazan ahead. See article here>

Two polls have come out this summer, each with different results.

KOIN-TV 6 (7/6/22) reports, “The survey, conducted by GS Strategy Group, shows that undecided voters dropped from 41% percent before the May primary election, to 20% right after that vote, and 15% now. The telephone survey was conducted June 23 to 29 among 600 likely November voters. Respondents were randomly selected from the voter file and the survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 points. The June poll — asking the standard, “if the election were held today” question — shows Kotek leading with 33% of respondents; Johnson right behind at 30%, and Drazan trailing with 23%. But the plus-or-minus-4-points makes the spread difficult to predict. If accurate, that would put the gap between Kotek and Johnson within the poll’s margin of error.The survey also included some questions seemingly designed to draw specific responses.”

The Oregonian (6/3/22)  reports, “Former House Republican Leader Christine Drazan and former House Speaker Tina Kotek, a Democrat, are leading in the race for governor, but many voters remain undecided more than five months before the decisive November election, a new poll released Wednesday found. Nearly 30% of likely Oregon voters picked Drazan as their choice for governor, while nearly 28% chose Kotek in a poll conducted by Nelson Research, an Oregon-based public opinion research firm. Unaffiliated candidate Betsy Johnson drew more than 19% support.”

Please comment on your take on the differences, takeaways and opinions.