Obama campaign struggles continue

by NW Spotlight

Not only has Mitt Romney been outperforming President Obama in fundraising, but recently attendance at Mitt Romney rallies are overflowing while it’s crickets at the Obama rallies. It’s gotten to where even Obama apologist Jackie Calmes at the NY Times is asking “Where are the [Obama] crowds now? And what does it mean for the results in November?”

Enthusiasm Gap

Peter Roff at U.S.News & World Report thinks that Obama’s “Enthusiasm Gap” could mean a blowout victory for Mitt Romney over President Obama. Here are some excerpts from Roff’s opinion piece yesterday:

“Obama is mired in a record of poor performance, exemplified by the 42 straights months of the official unemployment rate being north of 8 percent.”

“At the end of the day it may all come down to the level of enthusiasm each candidate can generate among the electorate. On that score, say a number of measures, Romney is likely ahead.”

“To astute observers of American politics, it is starting to look more like 1980—when Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter by impressive margins in both the popular vote and the electoral college—than 2004.”

“When the enthusiasm gap is factored in, Romney could actually be headed for a blow out, no matter how improbable that may seem at this time.”

Post to Twitter Post to Facebook Post to LinkedIn Post to Reddit

Posted by at 08:53 | Posted in 2012 Presidential Election | 4 Comments |Email This Post Email This Post |Print This Post Print This Post
  • Matt Evans

    Polls are notorious things, and as I’ve pointed about before, a “national poll” on the Presidency doesn’t mean anything, as President’s are elected in 50 individual State-based elections. Additionally, most of the national polls – which show the President with a comfortable lead – wildly oversample Democrats. One provided Democrats with a 13 point advantage in turn-out and they have generally ranged from 5 -13 percent, including State polls which are the ones to watch. At the moment, a more likely result is a 5-7 point turn-out advantage for Republicans – as much as a 20 point swing from polls currently being reported. If that actually takes place, Romney is going to be tough to beat.

  • Truthwins

    I am very glad to hear this news. Just saw the movie 2016…if everyone sees it…there will be No Second Term!

  • Bob Clark

    There sure are a lot of conflicting estimates on likely presidential winner. Obama leads many of the polls for the swing states, but a gallup national poll shows them almost tied with Obama the slight lead. I think you have to give the edge to Obama because he’s the incumbent and has access to all the federal slush funds to hand out the goodies as most incumbents.
    But one advantage Romney may able to grab onto is donations. The Supreme Court ruling a year or two ago (Universal case) gave back life to annonymous corporate donations, offsetting the the Democrat union campaign advantage. And Romney hasn’t really hit the airwaves nearly as hard as Obama at this point. Romney’s new message branding Obama as divisive and blameful could bring the mother lode in my opinion. The biggest problem with Obama is unlike highly successful president Bill Clinton, Obama has refused to become a political “sausage maker,” someone willing to compromise and bring the liberals and conservatives together in a middle ground.
    Romney doesn’t have a stong brand like Reagan created but maybe there’s time for him to create some edge in branding.

  • Rupert in Springfield

    Under Obamas leadership job creation has just about equaled legal immigration to the US. Give the guy a break, he deserves one, he’s a genius. It takes skill to spend $5T and get as little as we have for it.

Stay Tuned...

Stay up to date with the latest political news and commentary from Oregon Catalyst through daily email updates:

Prefer another subscription option? Subscribe to our RSS Feed, become a fan on Facebook, or follow us on Twitter.

Twitter Facebook

No Thanks (close this box)